What are the property price predictions for 2012?
With concerns regarding the economy, household income falling, unemployment on the increase and mortgages becoming more difficult to come by, the housing market is under pressure. However not all analysts are equally gloomy regarding property prices – here are some of their predictions for house prices in 2012.
The most pessimistic analysts predict that house prices will fall by around 10% in 2012 while the most optimistic are predicting a fall of around 2%. Others come in between with offerings of reductions of 5% and 7 %. Taking the average of the predictions, the change is likely to be a reduction of around 6%.
However these figures exclude London where prices are expected to remain fairly static over the year with at most reductions on average of 1% to 2%. Property at the top end of the market might even increase in value.
Whatever the average changes, there will certainly be significant regional variations. The South and London will come off the best, whilst the north will fare the worst. However it is not just a north south divide; house prices in the southwest are expected to fall sharply.
One thing that is maintaining the value of the housing stock is the very low interest rates that have been prevailing for some time. Should they increase to average values, then that would have a significant negative impact on house prices. Another is the fact that there is an overall shortage of housing stock in the UK, though currently there is a glut of property on the market. As every estate agent knows, the most desirable properties within their price bracket move very quickly.
Should we be concerned about this? In many ways falling property prices are not bad news if we consider our property as a home rather than as an investment. There is little value in hanging on to see what happens. The one thing to avoid is getting in too much debt and finding yourself with negative equity. It is of little surprise that mortgage providers are demanding that buyers have significant deposits.

